Model Results

The prediction models exclusively target qualifying bets, identified by specific confidence thresholds: the spread model selects bets where predictions differ from the betting line by 4-9 points, while the total points model selects bets differing by 2-4 points. Bets closer to these lines offer limited value due to unpredictable outcomes, whereas larger discrepancies may indicate factors outside the models’ scope. By focusing on these optimal ranges, we maximize accuracy and long-term profitability at standard -110 odds, which require a success rate of at least 52.38% to break even. Qualifying bets from both models are clearly highlighted in green boxes on the game predictions page.

The 'Best Return' field displays the result if the bet was made with the sportsbook that had the highest available odds. It does not always represent the best outcome, because it makes more total bets than one would with a single sportsbook.